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D2,3.thailand grp-presentation
1. THAILAND
REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL PRODUCT
16 March, 2010
Beijing, China
1 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
2. Thailand
513,115 Sq.Km.
7 regions
Northern : 17 provinces
North eastern : 19 provinces
Southern : 14 provinces
Eastern : 8 provinces
Western :6 provinces
Central : 6 provinces
Bangkok Metropolis and vicinities : 6 provinces
76 provinces
2 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
3. Gross Provincial Product : GPP
National accounts for the country 3 approaches :
Production, Expenditure and Income
GDP estimation via the production approach is
necessary for the country.
Top-down approach is used to disaggregate VA of
each activity of the country level to regional /
provincial level.
GPP estimation normally bases on 2 methods
3 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
4. First method
Use only for agricultural sector
Because of basic data is relatively perfect
Production, price are available in provincial level
But intermediate cost structures are available in
regional level
Compute VA of each agricultural commodity at
regional level and then disaggregate to provincial level
VAregion i = GOregion i - ICregion i
VAprovince j = VAregion i x Prod. ratio ij
4 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
5. Second method
Use for all commodities in other sector
No have data on production, price and
intermediate consumption at regional and
provincial level
VA of each commodity at the country level are
disaggregated to each province by proportion of
relative production indicators to the country
VAprovince k = VAcountry x Prod. Ratiok
5 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
6. GPP & GRP presentation
ISIC rev. 3 has been used
16 economic sectors
(exclude: Extra-territorial organization)
Current prices
Constant prices at 1986 prices
GRPi = sum of GPP in region i
Population and per capita GPP are presented
13 months lag for dissemination
6 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
7. Problem
It’s not technically perfect
Because of
o Not reflect prices in difference region / province
o IC is same proportion in every region / province
Accounting system can not be completed due to
unadequate data
Many activities do not have a clear boundary,
producing places and marketing spots are far away
from each other.
o Transportation : mobile from one boundary to another, railroad
o Electricity generating, marine fishery, mining in the sea
o Mobile phone
7 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
8. Bottom-up approach
In order to get the economic situation in each area
correctly.
Since 2004: NESDB encourage each province (exclude
BKK) to do GPP for themselves.
NESDB provide GPP concept and compilation
methodology to local agency’s staff.
Little by little of quality of GPP-Bottom up are observed.
NESDB still publicizes GPP officially (Top down).
GPP statistics of each province can be utilized for his
own provinces in term of primary economic report.
8 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
9. Problem of Bottom-up approach
Incomplete of data collection
Hard to get data in some activity eg. Trade: head office
locate at BKK , the branch which in another province
no have accounting data
Very often changing the local staff who are
responsible for GPP compilation
Budgetary constraint
9 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
10. Thank you
www.nesdb.go.th
10 National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND